So, the budget allocations for the arts seem fine and the new funds will be warmly welcomed by those who get them. To my mind the real problem is that I don’t believe the government’s optimistic forecasts for the economy that it is depending on. The arts like everyone else in the economy will be affected if Australia’s economy shifts into recession.
As Alan Kohler noted on The Drum the Budget is relying on a bumper 11% increase in revenue in 2012-13, including company tax up 9% and personal tax up 8%. That’s just not going to happen.
It is extraordinary that so few financial commentators, including the Reserve Bank have not, and continue not to see a slow down in the Australian economy coming, despite the signs that the asset inflation that has funded much of it for so long was inevitably going to slow down as households reached debt saturation and had to take stock of their debt ratios. Continue reading